Nguyễn Quốc Nguyện 3–2 Đào Văn Ly · Last 16

PBALast 16·Match 117

Final · 18:40 · 10/10/2026

Nguyễn Quốc Nguyện

S3AVG 1.667HR 8Inn 30

3:2

Sets

Đào Văn Ly

S115AVG 1.276HR 7Inn 29

Set by set

	S1	S2	S3	S4	S5	Sets	AVG	HR
Nguyễn Quốc Nguyện	15 8 · 7	2 8 · 2	15 4 · 8	7 6 · 5	11 4 · 5	3	1.667	8
Đào Văn Ly	3 7 · 2	15 9 · 5	2 3 · 2	15 7 · 7	2 3 · 1	2	1.276	7

Small figures under each cell: innings · high run (HR) of the set

Inning by inning

Score progressionNguyễn Quốc NguyệnĐào Văn Ly

Inn	1	2	3	4	Total
Nguyễn Quốc Nguyện	0	5	2	4	11
Đào Văn Ly	1	1	0	·	2

Inning points = regular points + 2 × bank points (PBA rule). Totals are cumulative within the set.

Match previews

Last 1610/10 17:00Open preview

Quoc NguyenVan Ly

Nguyen Quoc Nguyen

#12 · Elo 1.809

Machine pick

81:19

Dao Van Ly

#97 · Elo 1.619

Level pointsQuoc Nguyen −4·Van Ly +4/set?after levelling ≈ 45% – 55%

Points added/subtracted so both sides stand 50/50: from the machine's probability (Elo, form, AVG in context, experience, head-to-head, home) plus a per-inning scoring simulation by AVG under the match's exact format

Quoc Nguyen

Stat comparison

Van Ly

#12
Ranking
#97
1.809
3C Elo
1.619
100,0%3 matches
Win rate, 12 months
75,0%8 matches
1,54454 matches
Career AVG
1,50978 matches
no data yet1 inning
AVG, 12 months (before this event)
1,4296 innings
1,8422 matches
AVG at this event
1,3582 matches
122 matches
HR at this event
112 matches
1,8449 matches
AVG in South Korea
1,56721 matches

More stats (11)

1,8423 matches
AVG at PBA Tour
1,3582 matches
1
PBA Tour titles
0
12
Best HR, 12 months
11
50,0%2 matches
Matches with HR ≥ 10
25,0%8 matches
no data yet2 matches
Innings per win
29,86 matches
33,3%6 matches
Wins from last 16
0,0%4 matches
54
Career matches
78
6
Matches from the last 16 on
4
1
Finals played
0
63,6%11 matches
Close-match wins
64,3%14 matches
100,0%2 matches
Wins vs strong opponents
68,8%16 matches

◂ Quoc Nguyen

Balance

Van Ly ▸

AVG, 12 months · favours Quoc Nguyen
3C Elo · favours Quoc Nguyen
Knockout nerve · favours Van Ly
Form in the host country · favours Van Ly
Career experience · favours Van Ly

Verdict

Nguyen Quoc Nguyen completely dominates with world rank 12, Elo-3C 1809, tournament AVG of 1.842 and 1 PBA Tour title. However, Dao Van Ly boasts a close-match win rate of 64.3% and a 12-month high HR of 11, ready to spring a surprise. Overall strength and deep-round experience give Nguyen Quoc Nguyen a major advantage. Máy nhận định: Nguyen Quoc Nguyen 81 – Dao Van Ly 19.

Model trained on 10.567 matches · 70,4% correct on the 2.114 most recent · Machine right 4/5 at this event